The predictive power of online chatter
Daniel Gruhl, R. Guha, et al.
KDD 2005
We live in a "small world," where two arbitrary people are likely connected by a short chain of intermediate friends. With scant information about a target individual, people can successively forward a message along such a chain. Experimental studies have verified this property in real social networks, and theoretical models have been advanced to explain it. However, existing theoretical models have not been shown to capture behavior in real-world social networks. Here, we introduce a richer model relating geography and social-network friendship, in which the probability of befriending a particular person is inversely proportional to the number of closer people. In a large social network, we show that one-third of the friendships are independent of geography and the remainder exhibit the proposed relationship. Further, we prove analytically that short chains can be discovered in every network exhibiting the relationship. © 2005 by The National Academy of Sciences of the USA.
Daniel Gruhl, R. Guha, et al.
KDD 2005
Ronald Fagin, Ravi Kumar, et al.
WWW 2003
Parikshit Gopalan, T.S. Jayram, et al.
SODA 2007
Ronald Fagin, Ravi Kumar, et al.
SODA 1998